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  Articulating a Vision for Digital Healthcare

Theme 1: Transforming the Culture of Care

Navigating the Path to Future Care:
Healthcare & The Fourth Industrial Revolution 
 

The Convergence of Exponential Technologies - The Era of Creativity & Ideas

In this segment we start to explore the challenges for Healthcare in embracing Fourth Industrial Revolution, (4IR) technologies.

The 21st Century is going to start to see a shift in the role of the Health CIO, becoming more central to the organisation's executive function, especially the closer the Trust, or health organisation comes to achieving Digital Transformation.  

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This is a Paradigm Advisory, namely a segment focused on providing Health CIO's with a good high level understanding of the nature of the issues around adoption and integration of 4IR technologies and practices into their Trusts, and provides guidance as to the sort of narratives and overtures they should ideally now already be either in the process, or be planning to make to their Boards as a matter of urgency. In a bid to put their Trusts on the front-foot of this migration.

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Perhaps one of the greatest future challenges for healthcare stems from the evolution of the times themselves.  Knowledge is converging and increasing in an exponential, and some might even say a limitless way.    Consequently its anticipated that we are due to witness, a repeat of all the innovation, from the beginnings of time, to date in the next 13 - 14 years.  â€‹In the previous ThoughtCast for our Blog, the Digital Paradigm which was entitled, Revolutionising Hospitalisation - Trends & Key Enablers, we touched on the point that Healthcare now finds itself in the unique position, especially as compared to other sectors of the economy, in not having yet fully attained transformation (digitally), yet now due to the 4IR being upon us, needing to speedily adapt to operate in this new technological era.  However, these transitions are never easy, and just to add to the complexity, we are also now witnessing the convergence of eras also, because the inception of the 4IR, which is otherwise known as Industry 4.0, an era broadly defined by 'the convergence of exponential technologies,' was followed almost immediately by the onset of the Fifth Industrial Revolution, (5IR), which was believed to have actually started back in 2022.  â€‹The Fifth Industrial Revolution is essentially a refinement of the Fourth, so namely 'the convergence of exponential technologies', but now also with the admittance of attributes like values, and sustainability to the remit of digital innovation, so that what we are now seeing is the emergence of a new technological paradigm, fuelled by creativity and ideas, which have now become the new economic drivers for innovation and technological change.

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The 4IR  - The Challenges for Healthcare

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The new technological era, presents a challenge for Healthcare on several fronts.  The adoption of such monumental change would be a challenge for even the most experienced digitally-native corporations in any sector of the economy.  However, the NHS now finds itself in the position of needing to negotiate this migration to the 4IR with some critical gaps in their preliminary digital knowledge, experience, skills and maturity.  We're going to examine in highlight some basic implications of this, commencing with some recent published findings, not from the remit of Healthcare, but Human Capital, that can contribute to our understanding of some of the issues we typically see in relation to innovation in healthcare; and while we are on the subject of Human Capital also address. The issue of the role of Health-IT professionals and professionalism in Healthcare, as Healthcare finds itself in the unique position of no longer really having a mature, trusted, inculcated 'tribe' of specialist Health-IT innovators and experts.  We'll come on to look at why this is important, examining some of the reasons for this, and the effect this is currently having on innovation within the sector as a whole.

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Furthermore, in terms of the challenges certainly, as far as the Health CIO is concerned, of which they should now be aware and ideally be working actively towards remediating in managing their approach to the 4IR, arise from both the 'experimental' nature of some of the technologies themselves, and the fact that governments are still very much in the position of catching-up, as regards providing comprehensive legislative guidance and direction around a number of them.  This leaves Trusts potentially open to risk, and importantly also has implications for patient safety, privacy and Trust, including for things like informed consent.  We're going to evaluate these issues and provide pointers to others that the Health CIO should now ideally have thought about, or be thinking about, and provide some suggestions and/ outline guidance for the Health CIO, to think about, in constructing their own narratives to their Boards and organisational Execs especially, around the adoption of 4IR  technologies by their hospitals.

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Negotiating the Ethics of the 4IR

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The absence of debate about the ethical considerations around the development and use of 4IR technologies is increasingly becoming an issue.  From the wider societal and even global context, the whole debate around the ethics of these technologies, on account of the 'experimental' nature of many of them, really does needs to be addressed.  While governments take the stance of not wanting to intervene too early, so as not to stanch innovation, and also in part because in many cases they are largely in the process of trying to figure out, what exactly the 4IR is, and will become.  This leaves Trust's, and those wanting to embrace and innovate in these technologies in the position of needing to understand how they proceed, and work with these technologies in the meantime, as there is the risk, that once governments become clearer,  they could subsequently intervene with laws, and restrictions that could have the effect of making a Trust or health organisation, if not directly legally, then even morally culpable in retrospect, including in the eyes of public opinion. How Trusts, and those wanting to deploy these technologies proceed in this gap? Is something that certainly needs to be thought about, and planned for, as the position of Trusts wanting to hold back, and do nothing, either to wait for governments to lead, by mandating policies and laws; or to learn from other 'early adopters,' or those who've gone on before, which is a miniscule factor in the 'story' of good digital/ technological adoption, will mean that the Trust will ultimately miss a vital component in its own self-development, to evolve its digital capability, build digital resilience, and ultimately attain transformation.  There is no short-cut to the journey, Trusts just need to engage, and in order to do that, they must be brave in inculcating the mindset of the previous digital era, industry 3.0, which they are still largely in the process of mastering, of deploying these new technologies via the small iterative experiments, that are characteristic of digital (deployments), refining as they go, and trust the process.  The alternative, namely to wait, is to repeat the mistakes made by the industry with the adoption of digital in the previous era, (Third Industrial Revolution, 3IR), miss the wave of opportunity to onboard the technologies, together with the resilience needed to sustain it organisationally, including into the long term. This breaks the process or model for digital adoption, as is slowly coming to be understood now in retrospect, and means that ultimately without this knowledge or experience, not only will the Trust, or sector not transform, but if another wave of opportunity is lost, the sector could find itself permanently hampered from digital participation in the economy of the future.​​​

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Along the lines of ethics, what are some of the issues that we are saying are causes for concern and why?  Let's look at some of the technologies in highlight, so for instance:  Genomics, Advanced Robotics, Internet of Medical Things, (IoMT), blockchain, nanotechnology to name just a few examples of industry 4.0 technologies, not only is each complex, and potentially ground-breaking in its own individual right.  However, we're now speaking of deploying these individually complex technologies in convergence or converged scenarios, just to further add to the complexity.  This is what we mean when we allude to the 'experimental,'  -for want of a better way to describe it,- nature of these technologies.  It can be quite difficult to assess and manage the long-term implications of any one of them individually, making it near impossible to predict the long-term ramifications of their use in convergence. 

 

'The Convergence of Exponential Technologies'

 

The convergence of these technologies are then anticipated to produce what's being described as an 'exponential technology'.  An exponential technology is an innovation that, either in terms of its performance or capabilities follows a trajectory of exponential growth over time, for instance, either doubling in its effectiveness or efficiency within a short period, while bringing down, or halving its costs of ownership and operation.  Ultimately this convergence has the feature of making the resulting technology a 'black box', whose outcomes can become extremely difficult to understand, and or clearly predict.  Furthermore, its important to remember that convergence of these new technologies, will culminate in a fusion of physical, digital and biological paradigms, which in themselves will fundamentally create, or represent a new paradigm in clinical medicine, that could potentially challenge and even come to redefine our perceptions of what it even means to be human. We'll come on to talk in a bit more detail about this.

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Other factors as well, around the fact that work in areas such as the mapping of the genome...​​

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© 2025.  This work is licensed via CC BY-ND 4.0

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